2021 aerospace and defense
industry outlook
Commercial aerospace could remain
challenged, while the defense sector is
expected to be stable
Global aerospace and defense (A&D) industry revenue is
expected to begin to recover in 2021 after a difficult year
in 2020. But this recovery will likely be uneven across
the two key sectors, commercial aerospace and defense.
The commercial aerospace sector has been significantly
affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, which has led to a
dramatic reduction in passenger traffic, in turn affecting
aircraft demand. As a result, the commercial aerospace
sector is expected to recover slowly, as travel demand
is not expected to return to pre–COVID-19 levels before
2024.1 The defense sector is expected to remain stable
in 2021, as most countries have not significantly reduced
defense budgets and remain committed to sustaining
their military capabilities. However, given the disruption
in the complex global supply chain, some defense
programs could face minor cost increases and schedule
delays in 2021.
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