Dire Strait?

Military Aspects of the China-Taiwan Confrontation and Options for U.S. Policy

by David A. Shlapak, David T. Orletsky, Barry Wilson

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Among the hottest flashpoints in the world today, the Taiwan Strait cannot be ignored by U.S. policymakers and diplomats. China regularly rattles its saber to intimidate Taiwan and influence U.S. policy but has thus far stopped short of overt military action. This report analyzes the steps Taiwan should take to bolster the odds in its favor should a conflict with the mainland occur and describes how the United States can most effectivelycontribute in both peace and crisis. The authors conclude that the United States and Taiwan can take a number of fairly simple and relatively inexpensive measures — including hardening air bases and other facilities and upgrading the air defense command and control system — that would significantly enhance Taiwan's ability to defend itself against a large-scale Chinese attack.

Table of Contents

Preface

Figures

Tables

Summary

Acknowledgements

Acknowledgments

Abbreviations

Chapter One

Introduction

Chapter Two

Scenario and Approach

Chapter Three

Issues and Implications

Chapter Four

Recommendations and Concluding Remarks

Appendix A

Some Thoughts on the PRC Missile Threat

Appendix B

Overview of the JICM

Bibliography

References

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