NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES

PREDICTION, JUDGMENT AND COMPLEXITY: A THEORY OF DECISION MAKING

AND ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE

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Ajay K. Agrawal

Joshua S. Gans

Avi Goldfarb

Working Paper 24243

http://www.nber.org/papers/w24243

NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

1050 Massachusetts Avenue

Cambridge, MA 02138

January 2018

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