Preliminary risk analysis of 2019 novel coronavirus spread within and beyond China

Shengjie Lai1*, Isaac I. Bogoch2, Alexander Watts3,4, Kamran Khan2,3,4, Zhongjie Li5,

Andrew Tatem1*

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1 WorldPop, School of Geography and Environmental Science, University of

Southampton, UK

2 Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada

3 Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Canada

4 Bluedot, Toronto, Canada

5 Division of Infectious Diseases, Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention

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