The National Security Scorecard: Critical Technologies Edition

govini

In recent years, the U.S. Government has recognized the importance of emerging technology to both strategic competition with China and our future national prosperity, and multiple administrations and congresses have taken action accordingly. But despite these efforts, moving fast enough to beat China remains a pernicious challenge. We know well how difficult it can be to drive change in an organization as large and complex as the U.S. Government—and given the broad applicability of these technologies, it is a whole-of-government issue.

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If senior leaders in the U.S. Government are to chart an effective path forward, they must first understand where we are and where we have been. That is why Govini’s National Security Scorecard: Critical Technologies Edition is vital. It provides decision makers with a clearer picture of what the government has invested in these technologies to date, which parts of the government have been funding that investment, what spending pathways the government has been utilizing, and who in government has been partnering with in the commercial sector. This enhanced understanding enables a more thorough and accurate assessment of what has been done, what still is left to do, and why previous efforts have come up short.

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United States Releases National Strategy for Critical and Emerging Technologies

MEDIA NOTE

OFFICE OF THE SPOKESPERSON

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OCTOBER 15, 2020

Today, President Trump signed the 2020 National Strategy for Critical and Emerging Technologies, which outlines how the United States will maintain its global leadership in wide-ranging technologies, including in the fields of conventional weapons, artificial intelligence, semiconductors, and space. This first whole-of-government strategy will maintain American leadership in these critical fields.

As our competitors and adversaries mobilize vast resources in these areas, American commitment to science and technology is more important than ever. Maintaining our competitive edge is critical to our long-term national and security and economic stability and growth. The United States will not turn a blind eye to the tactics of countries such as the Russian Federation and the People’s Republic of China, which steal technology, coerce companies into handing over intellectual property, and surreptitiously divert emerging civilian technologies to build up their militaries. We will strengthen rules where gaps exist, enforce agreements, and work with like-minded allies and partners to ensure our common principles prevail as global norms and best practices.

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Critical Technologies Institute annual 1997 report

Edited by Miriam Polon

This report summarizes CTI's research activities in 1997 according to the main areas of inquiry: environment and health; space and transportation; critical infrastructure and technology; technology in education and training; and the federal R&D portfolio. Each section summarizes the year's major projects and highlights a specific project in detail.

Critical Technologies Institute Annual Report: 1995-1996

Since its inception in 1992, the Critical Technologies Institute (CTI) mission has not changed. That mission is to help improve public policy that involves or affects science and technology by providing objective, independent research and analytic support to the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy and, through that office, to other federal agencies and organizations.

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As our work has progressed, our understanding of that mission has continued to evolve and deepen. We have come to interpret it as one of informing a dialogue between the divergent worlds of science and politics, and, within the government, between various competing policy interests. Political leaders rightly observe that the field of science and technology (S&T) produces benefits for government and society. This does not mean, however, that the worlds of science and politics communicate easily or well. As the role of S&T in society has grown, so has the need for objective policy analysis to provide a factual grounding for debate and decisions affecting the S&T community. RAND and CTI have credibility in both of these worlds and so can inform and facilitate this dialogue.

In carrying out this mission, CTI relies on a diversified portfolio of analytic activities.

Conducting analyses that clarify issues and assess alternatives for potential national policies.

Regularly assessing science and technology areas to identify the need for policy action.

Identifying and developing relations with experts in critical technical and institutional areas.

Monitoring the interests of the Executive Office of the President and Congress to identify areas of analysis and fact-finding that should be considered by CTI and the rest of RAND.

Developing methodologies and acquiring and collating data to improve future analytic efforts.

Using a mix of communication means to inform a broad audience of stakeholders.

The challenge in carrying out these activities is to make high-quality analytic contributions while understanding the diverse character of the decisionmaking environment surrounding S&T policy. We look forward to meeting this challenge.

Bruce W. Don

Director

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Evaluation of critical and emerging technologies for the elaboration of a security research agenda

Final Report Summary - ETCETERA (Evaluation of critical and emerging technologies for the elaboration of a security research agenda)

Within the FP7-supported project ETCETERA (“Evaluation of critical and emerging technologies for the elaboration of a security research agenda“, Oct. 2011 to Nov. 2013) two kinds of technology evaluation have been carried out:

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• Technologies that are critical for security functions in Europe were checked for dependencies on extra-European sources (e.g. materials, knowhow, production facilities, IPR).

• Technologies that are now just emerging and will reach maturity in 10 to 15 years were assessed concerning their relevance for European security, with a focus on opportunities for enhanced security functions.

To address these two temporally separated issues, the project was divided into two research strands. Research issues were proposed to overcome Critical Dependencies in the near future and to capitalise on the opportunities offered by Emerging Technologies. Furthermore, new methodologies were developed and applied, e.g. a “serious gaming” approach and a new economic model to assess high risk, high pay-off research options. These activities were closely accompanied by work on ethical aspects, as decisions about research funding should take into consideration all possible implications of novel technologies on society.

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NATIONAL STRATEGY for CRITICAL AND EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES

OCTOBER 2020

TABLE OF CONTENTS

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INTRODUCTION ............................................................................ 1

Unified with a National Strategy ............................................................................... 2

WORLD LEADER OF CRITICAL AND EMERGING

TECHNOLOGIES ............................................................................ 3

Technology Leader .................................................................................................. 3

Technology Peer ...................................................................................................... 3

Technology Risk Management.................................................................................. 4

PILLARS OF SUCCESS .................................................................... 5

PILLAR I: PROMOTE THE NATIONAL SECURITY INNOVATION

BASE ........................................................................................... 7

Priority Actions ........................................................................................................ 7

PILLAR II: PROTECT TECHNOLOGY ADVANTAGE .............................. 9

Priority Actions ........................................................................................................ 9

CONCLUSION .............................................................................. 11

ANNEX: UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT CRITICAL AND EMERGING

TECHNOLOGIES LIST ................................................................. A-1

2020年10月15日，美国白宫发布《关键与新兴技术国家战略》（National Strategy for Critical and Emerging Technology）。文中详细介绍了美国为保持全球领导力而强调发展“关键与新兴技术”，并提出两大战略支柱，明确了20项关键与新兴技术的清单。

战略关键点一览：

1. 总体战略强调：技术战略与国家战略相统一 。

2. 掌握技术话语权并保持领导力。关键技术和新兴技术的世界领导者：技术领导者，技术同行，技术风险管理。

3. 两个关键战略。（1）推进美国国家安全创新基地(NSIB)；（2）保护技术优势。

4. 目前最高优先级的战略为：《国家关键与新兴技术战略》

5. 附件：美国政府20个关键与新兴技术列表。

关键技术和新兴技术列表反映了美国政府部门和机构向国家安全委员会工作人员确定的20个技术领域，作为其任务的优先领域。该名单将通过由国家安全委员会工作人员协调的机构间进程每年进行审查和更新（技术领域按字母顺序排列）。

(1) 高级计算

(2) 先进常规武器技术

(3) 高级工程材料

(4) 先进制造

(5) 高级传感

(6) 航空发动机技术

(7) 农业技术

(8) 人工智能

(9) 自主系统

(10) 生物技术

(11) 化学、生物、放射和核(CBRN)减缓技术

(12) 通信和网络技术

(13) 数据科学与存储

(14) 分布式分类技术

(15) 能源技术

(16) 人机界面

(17) 医疗和公共卫生技术

(18) 量子信息科学

(19) 半导体和微电子学

(20) 空间技术

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飞机结构数字孪生关键建模仿真技术

董雷霆1,周轩1,赵福斌1,贺双新1,卢志远1,冯建民2,3

Key technologies for modeling and simulation of the airframe digital twin

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飞机结构安全性设计思想经历了从静强度设计、安全寿命设计、损伤容限与耐久性设计到单机追踪的演变，未来有进一步向结构数字孪生的方向发展的趋势。飞机结构数字孪生是数字线程驱动的，多学科、多物理、多尺度、多保真度、多概率的模拟仿真系统，采用在线传感器监测、离线地面检查、飞机运行历史等多源数据，反映并预测对应飞机结构实体在全寿命周期内的行为和性能，有望革新现有的飞机结构使用和维护模式。本文面向疲劳寿命管理，提出飞机结构数字孪生的五项关键建模仿真技术，分别是载荷和损伤的数据获取技术、多尺度建模和力学分析技术、含裂纹复杂结构的精确高效仿真技术、基于降阶的数字孪生高效建模技术和考虑不确定性与多源异构数据的剩余寿命评估技术，并详细探讨这五项关键技术的研究现状与发展方向，为飞机结构数字孪生的系统研究与工程应用提供参考。

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Key Enabling Technologies, Horizon 2020,

and European Leadership in Manufacturing

Study for the ITRE Committee

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Govert Gijsbers, TNO

Maurits Butter, TNO

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